![]() There are some areas where the number of cancer cases is unusually high, which in the past has lead people to assume that there must be a causal link, such as contamination of the water supply or air pollution. One typical example of the Texas sharpshooter fallacy is the existence of cancer clusters. The great majority of them turned out to have no significance as predictions and, considering the volume, it’s actually quite likely that we can find at least a few that (seemingly ) apply to later, real events.Īlso, in Nostradamus’ writings, the name “Hister” does not refer to an actual person, but to a river called the Danube that is located in central and eastern Europe. However, when we dig a little deeper into the mystery, we can find good reasons to believe that the similarities may, in fact, be mere coincidences:įor instance, in his Les Propheties, Nostradamus wrote 942 short poems that are believed to be predictions about the future. When read carefully, there really do appear to be some striking similarities in the texts with what happened later. These quatrains are sometimes suggested to be a prediction of Adolf Hitler’s rise to power in Germany and the war against Germany, events that occurred about 400 years later. He will cause great men to be dragged in a cage of iron, When the son of Germany obeys no law.” “Beasts wild with hunger will cross the rivers, The greater part of the battle will be against Hister.“From the depths of the West of Europe, A young child will be born of poor people, He who by his tongue will seduce a great troop His fame will increase towards the realm of the East.”.Nostradamus, a French physician and an astrologer, wrote the following texts in his Les Propheties (1555): ![]() Here are two real-life examples to better illustrate the fallacy: Nostradamus
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